Saturday 9th December 3 O’ Clockers + Newcastle vs Leicester

Whilst the big matches of this weekend are on TV, there are still some tasty 3pm games.

One notable highlight sees this season’s surprise packages, Burnley and Watford go ahead at Turf Moor.

Other highlights include; Huddersfield vs Brighton, Tottenham vs Stoke and Newcastle vs Leicester.


Burnley vs Watford

I am looking to see what this match throws up because both teams have been real surprises so far.

Burnley currently sit above Watford in seventh and eighth respectively but a win for latter will see them move level on points.

A win for Sean Dyche and his men will however see them back in the Europa League hunt.

Sean Dyche.jpg
Sean Dyche speaking ahead of tomorrow’s game

It’s easy to call a draw here given that five of last eight meetings have ended in draws. I think that could be the case, given that Watford have taken seven points to Burnley’s six from last four games.

Dyche’s side however have developed a pattern in that run of WLWL meaning that I am going to ultimately lean towards a tight victory for Burnley.

Prediction: Burnley 1-0 Watford

Jake predicts: Burnley 1-1 Watford

Result: Burnley 1-0 Watford


Crystal Palace vs Bournemouth

After starting the season without a point in seven games, Crystal Palace are currently unbeaten in four.

In that period, they have taken six points (W1, D3) to move off the foot of Premier League table.

Palace’s record in this fixture however could halt that run.

Since both teams made their first Premier League meeting in 2015-16 season, the home side hasn’t won each fixture.

Add in the fact that Palace haven’t beaten Bournemouth at Selhurst Park in 29 years, this is going to be a tough task.

Bournemouth themselves have struggled but are unbeaten in their last three away games.

Their away goal average however is pitful with an average of 0.57 goals from seven away games.

There isn’t really a lot to split these sides so am going to call a 0-0 draw here.

Prediction: Crystal Palace 0-0 Bournemouth

Jake predicts: Crystal Palace 2-0 Bournemouth

Result: Crystal Palace 2-2 Bournemouth


Huddersfield vs Brighton & Hove Albion

This fixture was a Sky Bet Championship game this time 12 months ago but both teams are up and in contrasting form.

David Wagner’s Huddersfield side are without a win since beating West Bromwich Albion before the international break.

Brighton however have taken five points in that period. Those points came from sides around them alongside defeats by Manchester United and Liverpool.

Looking at recent history of this fixture, five of last ten meetings ended in draws with Brighton winning four.

Huddersfield however won the most recent meeting, here in February.

Realistically, this is going to be a tricky game because the Terriers are struggling and Brighton will want to bounce back from a 5-1 thrashing last time out.

In the end, I fancy Huddersfield’s home spirit to shine through.

Prediction: Huddersfield 2-1 Brighton & Hove Albion

Jake predicts: Huddersfield 0-2 Brighton & Hove Albion

Result: Huddersfield 2-0 Brighton & Hove Albion


Swansea vs WBA

For Paul Clement, this has to be a must win game with Swansea sat at foot of league table.

One positive is that this fixture favours his Swans, who have won their last three games against West Brom.

This time, he has to make it four consecutive wins over the Baggies if he wants to get Swansea’s season back on track.

West Brom meanwhile are facing their first away game under Alan Pardew.

Alan Pardew prepares for his first game as West Brom manager, despite an inconsistent opening away game record at new clubs.

Pardew has an inconsistent record regarding first away games as permanent manager of clubs with a (W2, D1, L3) record from six previous clubs.

Turning our attention towards the match, don’t expect much till after half time given that Swansea have scored 75% of their goals in second half.

West Brom also share that stat, having scored 75% of their away goals in that half.

Ultimately, their goal averages are poor, averaging 0.57 goals each.

For that reason, I can see a draw here, especially with Pardew’s poor debut away game record in mind.

Prediction: Swansea 1-1 WBA

Jake predicts: Swansea 1-3 WBA

Result: Swansea 1-0 WBA


Tottenham Hotspur vs Stoke City

Tottenham have gone over a month without a domestic win whilst Stoke won last time out.

Based on recent meetings, this might be a good time for these teams to meet from Spurs’ perspective.

The North Londoners have won the last three clashes in this fixture 4-0. A repeat here would see them become the first side to win four consecutive meetings by four goals or more.

Stoke however will be keen to get back to back victories for first time since early January.

Unfortunately, their away record is dreadful with just two wins from last 15 trips away from BET365 Stadium.

I can see that possibly getting worse here because Spurs’ home average is strong.

Spurs home averages
Tottenham’s home averages

Their ‘Shots’ average is one of best in league but 14.57 shots don’t go on target. As a result, their goal average is poor.

Luckily for Stoke, although their averages are around half of Tottenham’s, they are less wasteful when it comes to turning shots on target into goals.

Stoke away averages

That might be their salvation but I am still predicting defeat here.

Prediction: Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Stoke City

Jake predicts: Tottenham Hotspur 3-0 Stoke City

Result: Tottenham Hotspur 5-1 Stoke City


Newcastle United vs Leicester City (5:30pm)

Newcastle United will want victory here to crown off a day of 125th anniversary celebrations.

Leicester definitely will want to be party poopers as they look to maintain their recent run, having won last two after drawing at West Ham.

The Foxes also hold upper hand, having not conceded in last four meetings with Newcastle.

They could also compound Rafa Benitez to his first ever run of three consecutive Premier League home defeats as a manager.

The per game average for both sides (Newcastle – home, Leicester – away) suggests that we might have a tight game in store. 

Per game average in key areas  Newcastle  Leicester
Corners 5.71 5.29
Fouls 11.14 9.14
Shots 11.29 9.57
Shots on Target 4 3
Goals 1 1.29

Newcastle better Leicester in set pieces and shot wise but their discipline in fouls is a slight concern. 

If want to win games, they can’t keep committing so many fouls and that is why Leicester are currently in strong form. 

The goal averages aren’t great but the Foxes are more clinical, which will help here if can frustrate the Toon Army. 

Ultimately with this being the 125th anniversary game, I expect Newcastle to try and deliver a result. 

In end, I can see Leicester just edging it due to stronger form and confidence. 

Prediction: Newcastle 1-2 Leicester 

Jake predicts: Newcastle 1-2 Leicester

Result: Newcastle 2-3 Leicester

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